Blue Bird Valuation
| BLBD Stock | USD 60.52 0.72 1.18% |
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Blue Bird Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $56.98 per share. The current price of the firm is $60.52. Our model approximates the value of Blue Bird Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.09 %, current valuation of 1.67 B, and Return On Equity of 0.58 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Blue Bird's valuation include:
Price Book 6.7033 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 8.5726 | Price Sales 1.2914 | Forward PE 14.0449 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Blue Bird's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Blue Bird Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Blue Bird's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Blue stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Blue Bird Corp. Since Blue Bird is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Blue Stock. However, Blue Bird's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 60.52 | Real 56.98 | Target 66.75 | Hype 61.24 | Naive 61.14 |
The real value of Blue Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Blue Bird Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Blue Bird's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Blue Bird's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Blue Bird Corp helps investors to forecast how Blue stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Blue Bird more accurately as focusing exclusively on Blue Bird's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Blue Bird's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Blue Bird's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Blue Bird's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Blue Bird we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.
Blue Bird Cash |
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Blue Revenue by Product
Blue Bird Total Value Analysis
Blue Bird Corp is currently forecasted to have valuation of 1.67 B with market capitalization of 1.94 B, debt of 96.61 M, and cash on hands of 26.51 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Blue Bird fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
1.67 B | 1.94 B | 96.61 M | 26.51 M |
Blue Bird Investor Information
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Blue Bird Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the October 4, 2010. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Blue Bird's historical financial statements, Blue Bird Corp is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.Blue Bird Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Blue Bird has an asset utilization ratio of 236.72 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $2.37 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Blue Bird Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Blue Bird Profitability Analysis
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Blue Bird's financial statements, Blue Bird Corp may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Blue Bird's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 2013-09-30 | Previous Quarter 36.5 M | Current Value 30.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 14.3 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.1 | 0.1278 |
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For Blue Bird profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Blue Bird Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Blue Bird utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Blue Bird's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Blue Bird over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Blue Bird Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Blue Bird is estimated to be 1.2247 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.05 to a high of 1.34. Blue Bird's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.96. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Blue Bird Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Blue Bird Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Blue Bird's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Blue Bird is estimated to be 1.2247 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.05 to a high of 1.34. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Blue Bird Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
1.05 Lowest | Expected EPS | 1.34 Highest |
Blue Bird Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Blue Bird's value are higher than the current market price of the Blue Bird stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Blue Bird is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Blue Bird's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 30th of June 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 8 | 63.77% | 0.0 | 1.2247 | 3.96 |
Blue Bird Ownership Allocation
Blue Bird holds a total of 31.59 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Blue Bird Corp outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Blue Bird Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Blue Bird. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Blue Bird Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly one hundred one thousand ninety-four invesors are currently shorting Blue Bird expressing very little confidence in its future performance.Blue Bird Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.48 B. Net Income was 127.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 314.42 M.Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Blue Bird's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Blue Bird and how it compares across the competition.
About Blue Bird Valuation
The stock valuation mechanism determines Blue Bird's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Blue Bird. We calculate exposure to Blue Bird's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Blue Bird's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 349 M | 366.5 M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.13 | 0.10 |
Blue Bird Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Blue Bird does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.093 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 14.0449 |
Blue Bird Current Valuation Indicators
Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Blue Bird Corp and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Blue we look at many different elements of the entity such as Blue's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Blue Bird, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Blue Bird's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Blue Bird's worth.Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis
When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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